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The Stephen Curry-less Golden State Warriors head to the FedExForum this evening to take on the Memphis Grizzlies, with tip-off scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
Draymond Green has been stepping it up offensively lately, and my Warriors vs. Grizzlies predictions are targeting him to keep that trend alive here.
Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, February 25.
Warriors vs Grizzlies prediction
Warriors vs Grizzlies best bet: Draymond Green Over 10.5 points (-115)
Draymond Green is averaging 8.5 points per game this season, which is right on par for him. After all, the veteran is more of a defensive presence and playmaker than a scorer. However, Steph Curry remains sidelined, and Draymond has seen an uptick in minutes.
He’s played 24+ minutes in three of his last four, surpassing the 30-minute mark in two of those contests. Green has also cashed the Over in points in three of his last four.
Draymond registered 11 points on Tuesday, and he’s averaging exactly 10.5 PPG across two meetings with the Memphis Grizzlies in 2025-26.
Warriors vs Grizzlies same-game parlay
De'Anthony Melton has been on a different level lately, hitting the Over in points in three straight, erupting for 28 points in Tuesday’s loss to the Pelicans.
He also dropped 20 on Sunday against the Nuggets. Yes, this is a high total for a guy averaging just 12.7 PPG, but Melton is in his bag right now.
Dating to January 2025, the Golden State Warriors have won four straight against Memphis, including both this season.
While Golden State doesn’t have Curry and it's compiled an 11-17 record on the road, the Warriors will be motivated to bounce back after losing to a very poor Pelicans team.
Warriors vs Grizzlies SGP
- Draymond Green Over 10.5 points
- De'Anthony Melton Over 19.5 points
- Warriors moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: Seein' Green
Green is averaging 5.1 dimes this season, and he’s cashed the Over in two of his last three. The veteran is also averaging 6.0 assists against the Grizzlies in ‘25-26.
Warriors vs Grizzlies SGP
- Draymond Green Over 10.5 points
- De'Anthony Melton Over 19.5 points
- Warriors moneyline
- Draymond Green Over 4.5 assists
Warriors vs Grizzlies odds
- Spread: Warriors -3.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Warriors -170 | Grizzlies +145
- Over/Under: Over 231 (-110) | Under 231 (-110)
Warriors vs Grizzlies betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Grizzlies.
How to watch Warriors vs Grizzlies
| Location | FedExForum, Memphis, TN |
| Date | Wednesday, February 25, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Bay Area, FDSN Southeast-Memphis |
Warriors vs Grizzlies latest injuries
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